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Hormuz reopening in sight new

  ●  Oman and Iran agree on shipping routes   ●  Markets steady ahead of NFPs Iran deal edges closer Iran has claimed it is in the final stages of establishing a framework to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a day after reaching an agreement with Oman on shipping route coordinates. While any kind of lasting peace is still likely to take weeks or even months, markets are cautiously optimistic heading into the final day of trading of the week. It has already been said, but traders have been in this position before and know well enough that any diplomatic progress can be undone in an instant. Crude oil markets were seemingly conscious of this as well, as Brent Crude gained a solid 4% yesterday to reach $83 per barrel. Non-farm payrolls dead ahead The July NFP figures are mere hours away and if the US labour market updates from earlier in the week are anything to go by, market participants would do well to lower their expectations. Tuesday’s JOLT survey was nothing to write home about, with the number of job openings falling to 7.359 million in June, short of the predicted 7.4 million, while the ADP employment change released the following day came in at just 44 thousand jobs compared to the consensus of 70 thousand. Thursday’s jobless claims also disappointed, albeit marginally. Today’s headline figure is expected to hit 80 thousand new jobs, while the unemployment rate is projected to remain at 4.2%. Overall, the US labour market is considered to be stable, fitting in nicely with the Fed’s “soft landing” scenario, while the latest inflation readings have been distinctly more manageable compared to a few months ago. The implied market probability of a rate hike in September fell somewhat over the last few days and is now closer to 50-50, telling a different story compared to the narrative that prevailed at the start of the week. US indices underwent a predictable bout of profit-taking over the last couple of sessions – unsurprising given the fresh record highs established earlier this week. The earnings calendar will basically go dark after this point, with the broader picture well established and markets generally content with the current state of affairs. All-in-all markets are stable going into today’s session, patiently awaiting the NFP drop later on, while keeping an eye out for any further developments in the Middle East. #IRAN #HORMUZ #NFP About the Author Lawrence J. came from a strong technical and engineering background before pivoting into a more financial role later on in his career. Always interested in international finance, Lawrence is experienced in both traditional markets as well as the emerging crypto markets. He now serves as the financial writer for RADEX MARKETS. Reviewed by RADEX MARKETS Risk Warning: Trading derivatives and leveraged products carries a high level of risk, including the risk of losing substantially more than your initial investment.

August 07, 2026

$100 million stolen in crypto hack new

A devastating attack is currently tearing through the cryptocurrency ecosystem, siphoning millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin out of user wallets and into the hands of different hacking collectives. The hack is targeting users of the Coldcard hardware wallet, a wallet designed exclusively for storing bitcoin, meaning other cryptocurrencies have not been affected. The losses already amount to well over $100 million, but this figure continues to grow with each passing day. Thousands of users have been affected. Hardware wallets are designed to provide a secure way for people to store and access their cryptographic assets, but in this case, things have gone horribly wrong. After the vulnerability emerged, Coinkite, the Toronto-based company behind the wallet, even instructed users to move their funds as soon as possible. As usual when a large-scale hack occurs in the crypto industry, the debate between self- and third-party custody has started raging once again, with no clear winner emerging. The entire point of self-custody in crypto is that a person’s digital assets cannot be touched by anyone else unless the required cryptographic authorisation is provided. This typically means signing a transaction with a private key, something that is only known by the individual who generated it in the first place. The private key provides ultimate control over these assets, but consequently, this makes it a single point of failure if stolen. This is why exposing private keys in day-to-day operations on an internet-connected device is considered bad practice. Malware or key loggers could potentially steal the key, granting the bad actor immediate and unrestricted access to the affected wallet. This is why many people elect to use a hardware wallet instead. A hardware wallet allows people to sign transactions while keeping the private key contained within a secure element placed inside the device. The private key is therefore never exposed to the local machine, nor to the internet at large. The hardware wallet keeps all the critical information away from prying eyes, while allowing funds to be moved around by means of a PIN or passphrase, input directly into the device. Under normal circumstances, a potential attacker would need physical access to the device, along with the PIN necessary to unlock it. This is all well and good, but then why are thousands of wallets being drained of their funds? The answer, as far as cybersecurity experts (and Claude) are able to ascertain, is due to a coding error in the Coldcard firmware. The details become a little more troublesome here but are worth taking the time to properly understand. A private key is just a number. It is one number sampled among an unimaginably huge array of other numbers. Finding a simple number may seem trivial, but the sheer number of possibilities in question makes the task statistically impossible. It would be like trying to find one grain of sand, not just on Earth, but in the entire universe. The trick is to generate the number with a degree of randomness that cannot possibly be replicated. This is where regular random number generators fail. Regular RNG as used in most software starts with a seed number, which is then put through a bunch of known mathematical functions. The process is deterministic, meaning that the same input always leads to the same output. This will not do. Crypto software relies instead on cryptographic random number generators, which are not deterministic. Numbers produced in such a manner cannot be predicted, under any circumstance, meaning the resulting private key is truly unknowable. This process has been the foundation of cryptocurrencies since their inception. The apparent vulnerability found in the Coldcard firmware is that the private key generation mechanism used a regular RNG as opposed to a cryptographic one. The private keys were predictable because they were generated using deterministic RNG, which vastly reduced the total array of numbers from which they were sampled. Once someone figured this out, it was a simple matter of replicating the seed generation process on external hardware and reproducing the same private keys independently. Once this was done, draining the wallets in question was trivial. If this is indeed how some of the keys were generated, then the wallets in question were about as cryptographically secure as the average toaster. This would also explain why the attack does not appear to be a singular event but rather an ongoing process as attackers continue to find new keys. Coldcard users did everything right. They were careful. They spent money on what they thought was a secure hardware wallet in order to protect their bitcoin. They were robbed anyway. “Unfair” doesn’t even begin to cover it. And yet, in an extremely cruel way, the bitcoin mantra of “don’t trust, verify”, emerged from this stronger than ever. The fact is that thousands of people did not verify the source code of the hardware wallet they were using; they paid the price. On the other side of the equation, there are people out there who recognise their technological limits and entrust their funds with the likes of Coinbase or Binance. Fair enough, but the immediate counterargument to that lies with Mt. GOX, QuadrigaCX, Cryptopia and a long list of other exchanges that suddenly went dark, leaving their customers with nothing. The crypto industry does not currently have an answer. When people fall victim to credit card theft, their bank will often block the transaction, freeze the card and ship a new one within a couple of days. There is absolutely no equivalent in crypto. The recent hack has in fact prompted calls for more regulated crypto exposure; something currently being held up by the failure of the US Congress to pass the Clarity Act. About the Author Lawrence J. came from a strong technical and engineering background before pivoting into a more financial role later on in his career. Always interested in international finance, Lawrence is experienced in both traditional markets as well as the emerging crypto markets. He now serves as the financial writer for RADEX MARKETS. Reviewed by RADEX MARKETS Risk Warning: Trading derivatives and leveraged products carries a high level of risk, including the risk of losing substantially more than your initial investment.

August 06, 2026

Liquidity zones vs Demand zones: how to trade them for profit new

You mark a support or resistance level, wait patiently for price to reach it and place your trade. Price then pokes through the level, triggers your stop-loss and promptly moves back in the direction you expected in the first place. It is one of those trading experiences that can make you wonder whether the market or the trading Gods have a personal vendetta against you. The same frustration appears when trading breakouts. Price pushes above a familiar high, you enter expecting momentum to continue, and the breakout collapses almost immediately. What looked like the beginning of a new move turns out to be little more than a quick raid on the orders sitting beyond the level. Many of these movements can be better understood by studying liquidity zones. A liquidity zone is an area on a price chart, where resting orders cluster together. These may include stop-loss orders, breakout entries and limit orders positioned around levels that large numbers of traders can see. Because bigger market participants need willing buyers and sellers to execute substantial positions, price is often drawn towards these pools of orders before deciding where to move next. LuxAlgo and VasilyTrader both describe liquidity zones as broader chart areas where trading orders or activity become concentrated. This article is not about which currency pair, or trading session has the highest overall liquidity. Instead, it focuses on order-cluster areas visible on a forex chart. This guide will take you through: What liquidity zones are and why price is attracted to them The differences between liquidity zones and demand zones How to identify and draw both types of zone How to trade liquidity sweeps and genuine breakouts How to combine the two zones while controlling risk Demand zones will be used as a contrast and confirmation tool, but liquidity zones remain the main focus. Once you recognise where orders are likely to be waiting, many apparently random price movements begin to make rather more sense. Quick Response A liquidity zone in forex is a price area where stop-losses, pending orders and breakout entries cluster, usually beyond previous highs and lows, equal highs or lows, and significant round numbers. Price often reaches into a liquidity pool to fill these orders before either rejecting the area or continuing through it. A demand zone is the consolidation base from which a strong bullish move previously launched. When price returns for the first time, remaining buying interest may produce another reaction, although no response is guaranteed. Open a trading account with Radex Markets to practise identifying liquidity zones and managing your setups in live market conditions. Open an account today Liquidity Zones vs Demand Zones A liquidity zone is an area where a concentration of trading orders is likely to be waiting. These orders commonly collect just beyond visible highs and lows because traders tend to place stop-losses and breakout entries around the same obvious levels. This concentration creates what is often called a liquidity pool in forex. Price may be drawn towards the pool because larger orders require enough buyers or sellers on the other side of the transaction. The zone therefore acts more like a target than a traditional support or resistance line. Read more: Forex Liquidity Pools: Spot and Trade Strategically A demand zone is the price area where a strong bullish move originated. It normally appears as a short consolidation or base followed by a sharp move higher, suggesting that substantial buying took place there. If some buy orders remain unfilled, they may help price react when it returns to the area. A supply zone is simply the bearish equivalent. It marks the base from which a strong downward move began. However, for this guide, demand and supply zones are supporting concepts rather than the main attraction. Aspect Liquidity zone Demand zone What it marks An area where stop-losses, breakout entries and pending orders cluster The consolidation base from which a strong bullish move began What price does there Price is often drawn towards the zone to access and fill orders Price may react upwards when it returns to the zone Underlying logic Large orders require enough counterparties to be executed efficiently Unfilled or renewed buying interest may remain around the original base How it forms Around visible highs, lows, equal levels, round numbers and other widely watched areas Through consolidation followed by a sharp bullish departure Typical trade Trade a confirmed sweep and rejection or a breakout followed by a retest Look for a long entry after price returns and shows bullish confirmation Main role Provides a potential target and decision area Provides a possible entry or reaction area Invalidation clue Price closes beyond the zone and continues to hold there Price closes decisively below the base and fails to recover An easy way to remember the difference is this: a liquidity zone shows where price may be drawn, a target, while a demand zone shows where a move launched, an origin. The two zones can also overlap. When a liquidity sweep occurs inside a fresh demand zone, both order-flow ideas support the same setup, creating the strongest combination we will trade later in this guide. Understanding Trading Liquidity Zones Trading liquidity zones means identifying areas where a large number of orders are likely to be waiting and then observing how price behaves when those orders are reached. The idea is not to predict every market turn. It is to narrow your attention to the places where a meaningful reaction or continuation is more likely to occur. Orders cluster because traders generally respond to the same visible chart features. Previous highs, equal lows, round numbers and session extremes are easy to recognise, so stop-losses, breakout entries and limit orders naturally gather around them. Forex Dictionary - Pending Order A pending or resting order is simply an instruction placed in advance to buy or sell when price reaches a specified level. It remains inactive until the market trades at that price. Read more: What Is a Pending Order? Understanding How It Works in Trading Visibility itself creates the order cluster. If thousands of traders can see the same high, many will make similar decisions: Short sellers may place their stop-losses above it. Breakout traders may place buy orders beyond it. Existing buyers may position take-profit orders nearby. Other traders may use the level for limit entries. Larger participants may look to the area for sufficient opposing orders. This is why a liquidity zone should be drawn as an area rather than a single horizontal line. Orders are rarely placed at one identical price. They are scattered across a narrow band around the obvious level, making a rectangle more practical than expecting price to react perfectly to a line drawn with the precision of a laser engineer. Read more: What is liquidity in Forex and how is it measured Why Price Is Drawn Towards Liquidity Every completed trade requires a buyer and a seller. Larger market participants therefore need enough orders on the opposite side to execute substantial positions without excessive slippage. Forex Dictionary - Slippage Slippage is the difference between the requested trade price and the price at which the order is actually filled. If a participant tries to execute a large order where few counterparties are available, the order may be filled across several prices, making the overall entry less favourable. Read more: What is slippage and how to avoid it in trading Liquidity pools provide more potential counterparties. This helps explain why price often travels towards areas containing visible clusters of stop-losses and pending orders. It is an execution mechanism, not evidence that an institution has personally located a retail trader’s £300 account and decided that today is the day to ruin it. A volume increase may appear when price enters a liquidity zone, but the volume spike is the result of orders being activated, not the definition of the zone. A liquidity zone exists because orders are waiting there before price arrives. Buy-side liquidity generally sits above obvious highs, where short positions’ stop-losses and bullish breakout orders can become market buys. Sell-side liquidity tends to sit below obvious lows, where long positions’ stops and bearish breakout orders can become market sells. The deeper subject of using buy-side and sell-side liquidity to determine direction belongs in its own guide. Read more: Buy Side and Sell Side Liquidity: How to Identify and Use Them Seven Main Types of Liquidity Zones The most common trading liquidity zones form around levels that are easy for a large number of market participants to recognise: Previous highs and lows Equal highs and lows Round-number zones Session highs and lows Trendline zones Volume-based zones Confluence zones Each type can attract orders, but they do not all deserve equal weight on the chart. Previous Highs and Lows Previous highs and lows are established price extremes from earlier trading periods. Daily, weekly and monthly highs and lows are among the most closely watched reference points on a forex chart. Stops from trend traders and entries from breakout traders often collect just beyond these extremes. Because so many market participants track them, previous highs and lows are usually the first and highest-priority liquidity zones to mark. Equal Highs and Lows Equal highs and lows form when price tests approximately the same level more than once. They commonly appear as double tops, double bottoms or repeated swing points. The second reaction persuades many traders that the level has been “proven”. They then place stops just beyond it, while breakout traders wait on the other side. That tidy collection of orders is precisely what makes equal highs and lows attractive liquidity targets. Round-Number Zones Round-number liquidity zones form around psychologically familiar prices, such as 1.1000, 1.1050 or 150.00. Traders find these numbers easier to remember and frequently use them for entries, stops and profit targets. This behaviour is more than chart-room folklore. A Federal Reserve Bank of New York study by Carol Osler, based on the conditional order book of a large foreign-exchange dealing bank, found strong clustering at round numbers. Approximately 8.7% of the sampled orders were placed at rates ending in 00, with smaller clusters at levels ending in 50, 0 and 5. The research used historical order data from 1999–2000, so it should not be treated as a current market-wide measurement. However, it provides useful evidence for the long-observed tendency of forex orders to collect around round-number levels. Session Highs and Lows Session highs and lows are the highest and lowest prices recorded during a particular forex trading session. The Asian-session range is especially useful because its extremes are often tested after London opens and market participation increases. Stops tend to collect beyond both sides of the range, while breakout traders wait for a decisive move through it. This makes session extremes a particularly practical form of intraday liquidity pool in forex trading. Read more: Best time to trade forex: When to enter the market during the day Trendline Zones Trendline liquidity zones develop around repeated diagonal support or resistance touchpoints. Traders using the trendline often place their stops just beyond it, causing orders to spread along the line as it moves through time. Unlike a horizontal liquidity zone, its location changes with every new candle. Trendlines should therefore be treated as moving bands rather than fixed prices, with greater importance given to areas where they meet a horizontal level. Volume-Based Zones Volume-based liquidity zones are areas where unusually heavy trading activity has previously occurred. High-volume nodes on a volume profile may indicate prices where participation was strong and where traders retain a degree of market memory. There is an important limitation in spot forex: no central exchange records the entire market’s trading volume. Most platforms display tick volume or broker-specific volume, which can be useful as an indication of activity but does not represent every transaction across the global currency market. Confluence Zones A confluence zone forms when two or more liquidity references occupy the same price band. For example, a previous weekly high may sit near 1.1000 while also forming a set of equal highs. The more independent reasons traders have for placing orders in one area, the more attention that zone deserves. A previous high combined with a round number and equal highs is considerably more meaningful than a random line with no obvious explanation behind it. This gives us a practical ranking rule: the more credible liquidity features stacked within the same narrow band, the more significant the zone is likely to be. That rule becomes central when we start marking and ranking zones on an actual chart. How to Identify Liquidity Zones on Your Chart Identifying liquidity zones is a repeatable procedure rather than an exercise in chart intuition. The process has three stages: mark the reference levels, set the boundaries and rank the finished zones. Following the stages in order helps prevent a common problem, drawing a rectangle around every minor price movement and calling all of them important. Step 1: Mark the Reference Levels Begin by selecting the three to five most obvious levels on the chart. Previous daily and weekly highs and lows should normally come first, followed by equal highs or lows and major round numbers. Your initial list might include: Yesterday’s high and low The previous weekly high and low A clear set of equal highs or lows The nearest 00 or 50 round number The Asian-session high and low for an intraday setup Avoid marking every swing point. When a chart contains 15 supposed liquidity zones, none of them receives meaningful priority and price seems to be “reacting” everywhere. My own morning routine is fairly simple. Before the London open, I spend around ten minutes marking yesterday’s GBP/USD high and low, circling any clear equal highs or lows, and noting the nearest round number. For example, if GBP/USD were trading around 1.3290, I might mark a previous high at 1.3368, equal lows around 1.3260 and the nearby 1.3300 round-number area. These are illustrative prices, but they sit within a realistic contemporary GBP/USD range; the pair was trading near 1.3290 when this section was prepared. That small list gives me a usable map. I am not trying to decorate the chart until very little chart remains visible. Step 2: Set the Zone Boundaries A liquidity zone should cover the part of the reference area where orders are most likely to be distributed. The most practical method is to box the space between the candle’s extreme wick and the furthest relevant closing price. Forex Dictionary - Wick A wick is the thin part extending above or below a candle’s body, showing the highest or lowest price reached during that period. Use the following mechanical boundary rules. When Price Is Below the Reference Area If the liquidity zone is above current price: Find the highest wick within the reference area. Use that price as the upper boundary. Find the highest candle close within the area. Use that close as the lower boundary. Box the band between the two prices. When Price Is Above the Reference Area If the liquidity zone is below current price: Find the lowest wick within the reference area. Use that price as the lower boundary. Find the lowest candle close within the area. Use that close as the upper boundary. Box the band between the two prices. The logic is mirrored because the position of price has changed. In both cases, the band between the extreme wick and the relevant close is the area where orders are often most densely concentrated and where a sweep may produce a quick rejection. Worked GBP/USD Boundary Example Suppose GBP/USD is trading below a previous-high area. On the four-hour chart, several candles tested that region: Highest wick: 1.3368 Highest candle close: 1.3354 Current illustrative price: 1.3290 The liquidity zone would be boxed from 1.3354 to 1.3368. For GBP/USD, one pip is normally represented by the fourth decimal place. The zone is therefore: 1.3368 − 1.3354 = 0.0014, or 14 pips wide This gives us an objective zone rather than a line placed somewhere around 1.3360 because it looked about right at the time. The 14-pip width also becomes useful later. If price sweeps the zone and produces a valid short setup, the stop can be placed beyond 1.3368 with an appropriate buffer. The chart structure, rather than an arbitrary number of pips, provides the basis for the stop distance. Step 3: Confirm and Rank the Zones Once the boundaries have been drawn, each liquidity zone should be confirmed and ranked. A clearly marked zone is not automatically a high-quality trading area. Four useful confirmation signs are: A pickup in activity: Tick volume rises as price reaches or moves through the zone. Fast rejection: Price enters the zone but closes away from it, leaving a long wick. Pre-level consolidation: Price pauses and builds a narrow range just before reaching the area. Repeated reactions: Several candles respond to approximately the same price band. Forex Dictionary - Tick Volume Tick volume records how often a price changes within a period rather than the total volume traded across the entire forex market. It is supporting evidence, not proof of the orders sitting inside a zone. Rank Zones by Confluence Confluence means that several independent reference points occupy the same price area. The more credible reasons traders have for placing orders within one band, the more weight that zone should receive. For example: Illustrative A-list zone: GBP/USD has a previous weekly low at 1.3303, the psychological 1.3300 level and a pair of equal lows at 1.3298. These references occupy a five-pip band, giving traders several reasons to place orders in the same area. By comparison: Illustrative B-list zone: A rising trendline touches price at 1.3265, but there is no previous high or low, round number, volume confirmation or demand zone nearby. It remains worth observing, but it does not deserve the same trust. A single-reference zone receives what I call “half trust”. I may keep it on the chart, but I will not build a trade around it without further evidence. The strongest combination in this guide occurs when a liquidity zone overlaps a fresh demand zone. The liquidity area identifies where orders may be swept, while the demand zone provides a separate reason for buying pressure to appear. Account for Timeframes and Sessions Liquidity zones form on every timeframe, but higher-timeframe areas generally carry more weight because more traders and larger market participants can see them. A useful workflow is: Use the daily and four-hour charts to locate important zones. Use the one-hour, 15-minute or five-minute chart to observe the reaction. Give weekly and daily highs priority over small intraday swings. Mark the Asian-session extremes before the London open when trading intraday. Drawing on a higher timeframe and executing on a lower one provides context without forcing an unnecessarily wide entry. The Asian-session high and low are particularly useful because they are often among the first intraday liquidity areas tested as London participation increases. My own filter is simple: if I cannot explain why orders would be waiting in a zone, I do not draw it. Spotting a Demand Zone A demand zone is the consolidation base immediately preceding a strong bullish move. Look for a small group of candles trading within a narrow range, followed by an obvious and rapid departure to the upside. To draw the zone: Locate the consolidation before the bullish move. Mark the highest and lowest prices within that base. Extend the rectangle to the right. Watch how price behaves on its first return. For example, suppose GBP/USD consolidates between 1.3220 and 1.3240 before rising quickly to 1.3340. The 20-pip base becomes the demand zone. If price later returns to 1.3240–1.3220, traders will look for evidence of renewed buying rather than entering automatically. A stronger demand zone usually has: A sharp and decisive departure A relatively short consolidation base Little overlap between the candles Few or no previous retests A clear break of an earlier market structure Repeated visits can weaken the area because the orders responsible for earlier reactions may gradually be filled. The simplest way to tell the two concepts apart is this: liquidity zones are drawn beyond obvious highs or lows where orders cluster; demand zones are drawn around the consolidation base from which a bullish move began. Why Price Reacts at These Zones Price reacts at liquidity zones because large transactions require enough opposing orders to be executed efficiently. A buyer needs a seller, and a seller needs a buyer. When a large number of stops and pending orders collect around an obvious level, the area provides the counterparties required to fill bigger positions. Suppose EUR/USD approaches a previous weekly high at 1.1500. Stop-losses from short sellers may sit just above the high, alongside buy orders from breakout traders. When price moves through the level, those orders are activated, creating a burst of buying activity. What happens next depends on how that activity is absorbed: If selling pressure absorbs the new buy orders, price may reject the zone and fall. If buying pressure remains strong, price may hold above the zone and continue higher. If neither side takes control, price may consolidate until a clearer imbalance develops. Market memory also helps liquidity zones refill. Once traders have seen price react around a particular level, they often place new stops, entries and profit targets in the same area. An old zone can therefore become relevant again, although a recently swept zone normally carries less immediate weight. Demand zones work differently. A sharp rally from a consolidation base may leave some institutional or larger buying interest unfilled. When price later returns to the base, those remaining orders, and fresh orders from traders who recognise the area, may absorb selling pressure and cause price to rise again. For example, if GBP/USD previously rallied from a demand zone between 1.3220 and 1.3240, a return to that area may attract buyers. A bullish reaction is more convincing if the return also sweeps sell-side liquidity below an earlier low and then closes back above the zone. A zone tells you where a reaction is more likely, not whether that reaction will become a reversal or a continuation. I never treat the rectangle itself as an entry signal; the useful information comes from how price closes after it reaches the area. How to Trade Liquidity Zones for Profit Once liquidity zones have been drawn and confirmed, trading them becomes a repeatable four-step process. The word “profit” should always be understood in terms of probability and risk control; no zone guarantees a profitable outcome. The first two steps represent alternative scenarios: If price sweeps the zone and closes back outside it, consider fading the move. If price closes beyond the zone and holds, consider trading the continuation. In either case, look for additional confirmation before entering. Finish every setup with a defined stop, target and risk amount. The closing price after the zone is tested determines which route to follow. Step 1: Fade the Sweep Fading a liquidity sweep means trading against the initial move after price pierces a zone and then closes back outside it. The move into the zone activates clustered stops and breakout orders, but the rejection suggests that the new buying or selling pressure has been absorbed. The important word here is after. Do not enter simply because price has touched or pierced the rectangle. Before the candle closes, there is no reliable way to know whether you are watching a temporary sweep or the start of a genuine breakout. Entering on the first spike is effectively asking the market to reveal the ending while it is still halfway through the story. A basic bearish sweep setup follows this sequence: Price approaches a liquidity zone above a previous high. It trades through the lower boundary and activates buy orders. The candle fails to hold inside or above the zone. It closes back below the lower boundary. A short entry is considered after rejection has been confirmed. Illustrative EUR/USD sweep trade A liquidity zone is drawn above a previous high from 1.1474 to 1.1486. EUR/USD moves into the zone, spikes to 1.1482 and triggers buy-side orders, but the candle closes back below the zone at 1.1470. A trader enters short at 1.1468 and places the stop at 1.1490, four pips beyond the upper boundary. The total risk is 22 pips. The opposite liquidity zone is positioned at 1.1424, creating a 44-pip potential target. This produces an approximate reward-to-risk ratio of 2:1 before spreads and slippage are considered. These figures are illustrative and do not represent a recommendation or guaranteed result. The bullish version is the mirror image. Price sweeps below a previous low, activates sell-side orders and then closes back above the liquidity zone. A long trade is considered only after that rejection becomes visible. If price closes beyond the zone and continues to hold there, the fade idea is invalid. That is no longer a confirmed rejection, so move to the continuation playbook. Read more: Liquidity Sweep: How It Works and How to Trade It Step 2: Trade the Continuation A liquidity-zone continuation occurs when price clears the zone, closes beyond it and maintains acceptance on the other side. Rather than reversing, the activated orders add momentum to the existing move. The safer approach is not to chase the first candle through the area. Wait for price to return and test the broken zone from the opposite side. For a bullish continuation: Price closes decisively above the liquidity zone. Subsequent candles remain above or near the upper boundary. Price pulls back to retest the broken area. The retest fails to close back below the zone. A long entry is considered in the direction of the breakout. For a bearish continuation, reverse the process. Suppose EUR/USD closes above the earlier zone at 1.1486 and later pulls back to 1.1488. If the retest produces bullish rejection and remains above the boundary, the old liquidity zone may act as a launch point for continuation towards the next pool of orders. I paid enough tuition to the market in my earlier years by chasing large breakout candles. A 25-pip candle through a zone can look wonderfully convincing, but entering near its top often means buying just as the market begins its retest. Waiting for the return may result in fewer trades, but it usually provides a clearer invalidation level and a more sensible stop. Step 3: Combine With a Demand Zone The highest-confluence bullish setup occurs when a sell-side liquidity sweep finishes inside a fresh demand zone. Stops below an obvious low are triggered at the same price area from which a strong bullish move previously launched. This brings two independent ideas together: The liquidity zone explains why price is drawn below the low. The demand zone explains why buying pressure may appear after the sweep. The close back above the area provides confirmation that sellers failed to hold control. The next buy-side liquidity pool provides a logical target. Imagine GBP/USD has equal lows at 1.3242, with a fresh demand zone extending from 1.3220 to 1.3240. Price falls below the equal lows, trades into the demand zone and reaches 1.3230 before closing back above 1.3242. The move has swept sell-side orders below the lows while testing the bullish origin area. If the rejection is confirmed, a trader may consider a long entry with the stop beyond the demand-zone boundary and the target near the next visible high. The bearish mirror applies when price sweeps buy-side liquidity above a high and enters a fresh supply zone. A confirmed close back below the area may support a short setup. Task Use the liquidity zone Use the demand zone Set the bias Observe whether sell-side or buy-side orders are swept and how price closes afterwards Check whether the zone supports a bullish reaction; use a supply zone for the bearish mirror Time the entry Wait for the sweep and confirmed reclaim rather than entering on the initial pierce Refine the entry around the base after rejection appears Place the stop Account for the liquidity boundary so the stop is not left inside the sweep area Place the stop beyond the structural edge of the demand zone with a suitable buffer Set the target Target the next opposing liquidity zone or obvious order pool Use the demand zone for the entry structure rather than the main profit target Confirm the setup Look for a strong reclaiming close, long wick or failure to hold beyond the level Prefer a fresh zone with a sharp departure and few previous retests The liquidity zone helps establish the likely order sweep and target, while the demand zone anchors the entry and stop. They are two layers of one trading process rather than competing tools. Step 4: Set Your Stops, Targets and Risk A promising setup can still produce a poor trade if the stop, target or position size is improvised. Finish every liquidity-zone trade with the same risk process. Place the stop beyond the structural boundary. For a short fade, the stop normally belongs above the upper edge of the swept zone plus a small buffer. For a long fade, it belongs below the lower edge. A stop positioned inside the zone simply adds your order to the liquidity available for another sweep. Risk a fixed, modest percentage. Some traders use 1% to 2% of their account per trade, although the appropriate amount depends on personal circumstances, experience and risk tolerance. Once the stop distance is known, adjust the position size so the financial loss at the stop remains within that limit. Target the opposing liquidity zone. A short trade taken after buy-side liquidity is swept may target sell-side liquidity below a previous low. A long trade may target the next concentration of orders above a visible high. Check the reward against the risk. If the next meaningful target is too close to justify the stop distance, the setup may not be worth taking. A visually attractive rejection does not improve poor trade mathematics. Consider taking partial profit at an intermediate zone. When the final target is some distance away, closing part of the position at the first opposing zone can reduce exposure. The remainder may then be managed towards the larger target according to the trading plan. Entry, stop and target should all share the same structural reference frame. That consistency is why drawing the liquidity zones properly is worth the time. Read more: What is a stop-loss order and how to set it Limitations of Trading Liquidity Zones Liquidity-zone trading has genuine limitations, and understanding where it can fail is just as important as knowing how to use it. The rectangles may make a chart look organised, but the market is under no obligation to respect our stationery. Zone boundaries remain partly subjective. Two traders studying the same GBP/USD chart may box a previous-high area differently. One might draw a narrow zone from 1.3354 to 1.3368, while another includes an earlier wick and extends it to 1.3375. The wick-to-close method reduces this disagreement, but it cannot eliminate judgement entirely. If every swing becomes a zone, the chart loses its ability to show which areas really matter. Historical charts flatter the method. Completed sweeps and reversals look remarkably obvious in hindsight. On a live chart, however, EUR/USD may enter a zone at 1.1480, pause for several candles and give no clear indication of whether it will reject or continue. Entering before the confirming close is still a guess, no matter how attractive the finished chart might look later. Spot forex has no single central order book. The global spot currency market is decentralised, so retail traders cannot see every resting order across every bank, broker and trading venue. A liquidity pool in forex is therefore inferred from price structure and trader behaviour rather than confirmed as a complete collection of orders. Tick volume may support the analysis, but it remains broker-specific and indicative. Strong trends can run through several zones. In a powerful directional market, price may sweep one liquidity zone after another without producing a lasting reversal. For example, a strong dollar rally could drive EUR/USD through zones at 1.1450, 1.1420 and 1.1400 with only brief pauses. Continually fading every zone would mean repeatedly trading against the dominant move. Major news can distort normal reactions. Interest-rate decisions, inflation reports and employment data can increase volatility while spreads widen. A zone between 1.1474 and 1.1486 may normally provide a controlled 12-pip area, but a news candle could move 40 or 50 pips through it before any close confirms the outcome. During these periods, a supposed sweep may simply be the beginning of repricing. False signals are unavoidable. Price may sweep a zone, close back outside it and still reverse again on the following candle. A valid-looking short entry at 1.1468 could stop out at 1.1490 before the market eventually falls. Confirmation improves the evidence available at entry; it does not make the outcome certain. Liquidity zones are not a standalone system. A rectangle alone does not provide market direction, entry confirmation, position size or an acceptable level of risk. Zones work best when combined with higher-timeframe structure, closing-price confirmation, confluence and a consistent risk-management plan. Swept zones lose some of their immediate value. Once price has entered a zone and activated the waiting orders, part of that liquidity has been consumed. If a demand zone between 1.3220 and 1.3240 has already produced three reactions, the fourth test usually deserves less confidence than the first. Zones therefore require regular maintenance rather than being drawn once and left on the chart for the next three months. None of these limitations is solved by believing in the setup more enthusiastically. The practical response is to wait for the closing candle, demand confluence, respect the higher-timeframe direction and cap the amount at risk. I treat liquidity zones as a filter that improves my decision-making, not as a crystal ball. They tell me where to wait and pay attention; they never guarantee that a reversal is due. FAQ What are liquidity zones in trading? Liquidity zones are price areas where stop-losses, pending orders and breakout entries cluster. They commonly form beyond previous highs and lows, equal highs or lows, session extremes and round numbers, which can draw price towards the waiting orders. What is a demand zone in forex? A demand zone is the consolidation base from which a strong bullish move launched, potentially leaving unfilled or renewed buying interest behind. Price may produce a buying reaction on its first return, while a supply zone represents the bearish equivalent. What is the difference between liquidity zones and demand zones? A liquidity zone marks where orders cluster and price may be drawn, making it a potential target. A demand zone marks where a bullish move originated and may produce a reaction when revisited; the setup becomes stronger when a liquidity sweep occurs inside a fresh demand zone. How do you trade liquidity zones? Traders commonly fade a liquidity sweep after price pierces the zone and closes back outside it, or trade a continuation after price clears the area, holds beyond it and successfully retests the boundary. Stops are normally placed beyond the structural edge, with the opposite liquidity zone used as a potential target. Are liquidity zones the same as order blocks? No. An order block generally refers to the final opposing candle or compact price area before an impulsive move, while a liquidity zone is a wider band where clustered orders are expected. They can work together, with the liquidity zone providing context and the order block helping refine an entry. What is the best timeframe for liquidity zones and demand zones? Both types of zone form on every timeframe, but higher-timeframe zones tend to carry more weight. A common workflow is to draw the main areas on the daily and four-hour charts, then use the one-hour, 15-minute or lower chart to assess the reaction and plan an entry. How wide should a liquidity zone be? The width should come from chart structure rather than guesswork. When price is below the reference area, box from its highest close to its highest wick; when price is above, mirror the rule by boxing from the lowest wick to the lowest close. Is a liquidity zone still valid after it has been swept? Once a liquidity zone has been swept, some of its resting orders have been filled and its immediate strength is likely to decline. An obvious level can refill as traders place new stops and entries there, so demote it to a watchlist after the sweep and promote it again only if fresh reactions and order clustering develop. Conclusion Liquidity zones mark areas where price is likely to be drawn because stop-losses, breakout entries and pending orders are clustered there. Demand zones mark the consolidation bases from which strong bullish moves previously launched. The distinction is straightforward: liquidity zones are targets, while demand zones are origins. Drawing liquidity zones can also follow a structured process: Select the most obvious reference levels. Set the boundaries using the relevant wick and closing price. Confirm the area through rejection, activity and repeated reactions. Rank each zone according to its confluence. Give greater weight to higher-timeframe areas. Once price reaches a zone, the closing candle becomes the deciding factor. A sweep followed by a close back outside the area may support a reversal trade. A decisive close beyond the zone, followed by a successful retest, may favour continuation instead. The strongest setup discussed in this guide occurs when a liquidity sweep finishes inside a fresh demand zone. The liquidity pool explains why price was drawn into the area, while the demand zone provides an independent reason for buying pressure to appear. Stops can then be placed beyond the structural boundary, with the opposite liquidity zone used as a logical potential target. After years of watching price reach the “perfect” level and then behave in a thoroughly imperfect manner, my view is quite plain: liquidity zones do not predict direction. They show where the crowd’s stops and pending orders are likely to be waiting. The real information arrives after those orders have been activated. A close back outside the zone points towards possible rejection; holding beyond it points towards possible continuation. Nothing before that close needs to be traded. About the Author Lee W. is a seasoned professional trader with over 10 years of experience. Passionate about sharing valuable expertise and unique market insights, Lee W. now serves as an external and independent market analyst for RADEX MARKETS. Reviewed by RADEX MARKETS Risk Warning: Trading derivatives and leveraged products carries a high level of risk, including the risk of losing substantially more than your initial investment. References Osler, C. — Currency Orders and Exchange Rate Dynamics (Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Report 125) LuxAlgo — Liquidity Zones vs. Order Blocks: Key Differences VasilyTrader — A Deep Dive into Liquidity and Liquidity Zones in Forex Trading (Smart Money Concepts) Try these Next Deeper into liquidity: What is liquidity in Forex and how is it measured Buy Side and Sell Side Liquidity: How to Identify and Use Them Forex Liquidity Pools: Spot and Trade Strategically Liquidity Sweep: How It Works and How to Trade It Liquidity Grab Guide: Definition, Signals & Trading Techniques Liquidity Void and Liquidity Gap: Definition, Formation & Use Liquidity Risk in Forex Trading: A Trader's Guide to Managing It What Is a Forex Liquidity Provider? Role, Types & How It Works Related concepts: What is a stop-loss order and how to set it What Is a Pending Order? Understanding How It Works in Trading What Is Take Profit? Understanding How It Works in Trading What is slippage and how to avoid it in trading Forex Volatility: Measuring and Trading Currency Pair Swings { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@graph": [ { "@type": "Organization", "@id": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/en/About/Index", "name": "RADEX MARKETS", "url": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/images/RM_logo-W.svg", "width": 512, "height": 128 } }, { "@type": "Person", "@id": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/#newsAuthorPop", "name": "Lee Worker", "image": "https://cn.cdnpics.com/rm/images/authors/sfbhs//205_avatar_382_202509040810364641.jpg", "jobTitle": "Financial Analyst / Guest Author", "description": "Lee W. is a seasoned professional trader with over 10 years of experience. 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"data": [ { "Aspect": "What it marks", "Liquidity zone": "An area where stop-losses, breakout entries and pending orders cluster", "Demand zone": "The consolidation base from which a strong bullish move began" }, { "Aspect": "What price does there", "Liquidity zone": "Price is often drawn towards the zone to access and fill orders", "Demand zone": "Price may react upwards when it returns to the zone" }, { "Aspect": "Underlying logic", "Liquidity zone": "Large orders require enough counterparties to be executed efficiently", "Demand zone": "Unfilled or renewed buying interest may remain around the original base" }, { "Aspect": "How it forms", "Liquidity zone": "Around visible highs, lows, equal levels, round numbers and other widely watched areas", "Demand zone": "Through consolidation followed by a sharp bullish departure" }, { "Aspect": "Typical trade", "Liquidity zone": "Trade a confirmed sweep and rejection or a breakout followed by a retest", "Demand zone": "Look for a long entry after price returns and shows bullish confirmation" }, { "Aspect": "Main role", "Liquidity zone": "Provides a potential target and decision area", "Demand zone": "Provides a possible entry or reaction area" }, { "Aspect": "Invalidation clue", "Liquidity zone": "Price closes beyond the zone and continues to hold there", "Demand zone": "Price closes decisively below the base and fails to recover" } ] }, { "@type": "Dataset", "@id": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/en/News/NewsDetail?p=dE5kZjFaaEo4WFk9#zones-playbook", "name": "How to Combine a Liquidity Zone with a Demand Zone", "description": "This dataset sets out how a trader divides the work between a liquidity zone and a demand zone when building one setup, covering bias, entry timing, stop placement, targets and confirmation.", "keywords": ["liquidity zone strategy", "demand zone strategy", "liquidity sweep", "trading liquidity zones"], "creator": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "RADEX MARKETS" }, "inLanguage": "en", "columns": 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rather than the main profit target" }, { "Task": "Confirm the setup", "Use the liquidity zone": "Look for a strong reclaiming close, long wick or failure to hold beyond the level", "Use the demand zone": "Prefer a fresh zone with a sharp departure and few previous retests" } ] }, { "@type": "FAQPage", "@id": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/en/News/NewsDetail?p=dE5kZjFaaEo4WFk9#faq", "inLanguage": "en", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are liquidity zones in trading?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Liquidity zones are price areas where stop-losses, pending orders and breakout entries cluster. 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August 07, 2026

Stocks fly on peace deal hopes new

  ●  Record highs for S&P 500 and Dow Jones   ●  Brent Crude falls to $78 per barrel   ●  AMD and SpaceX plummet in extended hours Peace deal hopes send stocks flying US stocks surged higher on Tuesday following reports that a peace deal with Iran is close to being reached. Scott Bessent said it perhaps the most clearly, claiming there was "a chance we may have a deal today or tomorrow” to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Words of conviction from the Treasury Secretary, but hopes of peace in the Middle East have been dashed against the rocks before. Nevertheless, markets have chosen the path of optimism this time around and Wall Street cracked out the champagne early during yesterday’s session. The positive sentiment was enough to buoy the Dow Jones and S&P 500 to fresh record highs after the two indices climbed more than 1.7% higher. The Nasdaq 100 was the biggest winner of the lot, gaining 3.3% yesterday, although the tech-heavy index remains somewhat off its own record high established back in early June. US markets had the additional boon of Monday’s ISM manufacturing PMI, which indicated a sector firmly in expansion with a read of 55.6. Asian markets are understandably bullish this morning, with the Nikkei 225 and Kospi indices gapping higher, eager to seize upon the pervading sense of positivity. Crude oil prices took a predictable hammering on Tuesday, with Brent Crude crashing down to $78 per barrel and WTI seeing lows of $75. Foreign exchange markets, still reeling from the massive joint intervention on the Japanese yen late last week, were content to ignore the latest developments surrounding Iran, with the DXY remaining relatively stable throughout the day. Gold was similarly unfazed, gaining around half a percent to reach $4,077 per ounce, while silver showed a little more ambition by rising 2.3% to $59.50 per ounce. Both were outclassed by platinum and palladium, which gained over 6% apiece to reach highs not seen for over a month. Bitcoin is once again above $64,000 as of the early hours of this morning, although crypto markets as a whole have absolutely no reason to celebrate, as the prospect of a vote on the Clarity Act looks increasingly doomed. Mixed earnings This week’s earnings offerings also helped spur markets on yesterday, from which Palantir (PLTR) emerged as the clear victor. The software company obliterated expectations in its quarterly earnings report released on Monday night, causing a dramatic 30% surge during yesterday’s session. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and SpaceX (SPCX) also performed admirably ahead of their own earnings, gaining 7% and 9% respectively, but unfortunately, both reports would end up severely disappointing investors after the figures were released after the bell, causing both stocks to give back all their gains during extended trading hours. The AI trade continues to be unforgiving, punishing SpaceX just as it has punished many other companies for aggressive infrastructure spending, while AMD is being torn apart simply for not beating expectations by a wide enough margin. Fellow chipmakers SanDisk (SNDK) and Western Digital (WDC) are scheduled to report after market close later today and both will likely face the same level of scrutiny as AMD. The reports will serve as a barometer for memory demand, showing how much their customers, and by extension the tech sector as a whole, is willing to pay. #IRAN #SPX #DOW About the Author Lawrence J. came from a strong technical and engineering background before pivoting into a more financial role later on in his career. Always interested in international finance, Lawrence is experienced in both traditional markets as well as the emerging crypto markets. He now serves as the financial writer for RADEX MARKETS. Reviewed by RADEX MARKETS Risk Warning: Trading derivatives and leveraged products carries a high level of risk, including the risk of losing substantially more than your initial investment.

August 05, 2026

What Is VWAP in Forex? Volume Weighted Average Price Meaning & Use new

Plenty of traders copy VWAP straight from a stock or crypto chart onto a currency pair, trust the line, and get caught out when it misreads a quiet forex session. VWAP, or volume weighted average price, is the average price everyone paid this session, weighted by how much traded at each level and drawn as one benchmark line that resets when the next session opens. The catch in forex is simple: currencies have no centralised, real traded volume the way an exchange does, so the line runs on a proxy, and that single fact decides how far you can trust it. Below I cover what VWAP is, the formula with a real EUR/USD worked example you can check yourself, the forex volume problem in plain terms, how to read and set up the line on MT4 and MT5, the main strategies, and where it quietly falls apart. I trade this indicator daily, so I will tell you where I trust it and where it has burned me. Quick Response VWAP (volume weighted average price) is the running, volume-weighted average traded price for the current session, used as an intraday fair-value benchmark and a directional bias filter: price above VWAP leans bullish, price below leans bearish. One honest caveat for currencies: forex has no centralised volume, so platform VWAP is built on tick volume as a proxy and is most reliable in high-liquidity hours. Want to watch VWAP behave in live market conditions rather than a screenshot? Open an account today What Is VWAP? VWAP, the volume weighted average price, is the running average traded price over a single session, weighted by the volume done at each price, so that heavily traded levels pull the line towards them; it resets at every session open and reads as the market's average fill for the day. The term is defined in most trading references, includingInvestopedia's VWAP entry. Three properties do most of the work: One cumulative line, not a lookback average: VWAP is a single evolving line built from the session open, not a moving average of the last 20 or 50 bars. It starts fresh each session and grows as volume accumulates. Weighted by volume: price is multiplied by the volume traded at that price, so a level where a lot changed hands moves the line far more than a quiet tick. That weighting is the whole point of the tool. An execution benchmark by origin: VWAP represents the volume-weighted average fill for the period. Its first use, back in 1988, was institutional: desks scored whether they had bought or sold better or worse than the day's average. A moving average uses only price and time. VWAP adds volume as a third input and throws the count away each session, so it never carries yesterday's data into today. VWAP also has a close cousin, TWAP, the time-weighted average price, and traders mix them up constantly. VWAP weights by volume, so busy prices count for more. TWAP averages purely by time and ignores volume entirely. Both are average-price benchmarks, but they measure different things, and in forex retail traders mostly reach for VWAP while TWAP stays more of an institutional execution term. Aspect VWAP TWAP WeightingBy volume: heavily traded prices count moreBy time only: every interval counts equally What it reflectsWhere volume actually traded (fair value)The simple average across the time window ResetsEach session, intradayOver the chosen time window Typical userRetail intraday bias plus institutional executionMostly institutional execution Best forReading intraday bias and fair valueSplitting a large order evenly over time Formula of VWAP The VWAP formula multiplies each bar's typical price by its volume, adds those products into a running total from the session open, then divides by the cumulative volume so far. Written out, it is short enough to keep in your head. VWAP = Σ(Typical Price × Volume) / Σ(Volume) where Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3 Both the numerator and the denominator are running sums from the session open, and the whole thing resets at the next session. Each term is plain once you name it: Typical Price: (High + Low + Close) / 3 for each bar, a single representative price for the bar instead of just its close. Volume: the volume done in that bar. In forex there is no real traded volume, so tick volume stands in as the proxy, which I explain in full further down. Σ (the running sum): the cumulative total from the session open onward. That running total is why VWAP drifts through the day and resets when the session rolls over. The formula itself is simple. Watching it work takes real numbers, which the next section supplies with a EUR/USD example you can re-check by hand. How to Calculate VWAP Calculating VWAP by hand means applying the formula bar by bar from the session open: work out each bar's typical price, multiply by that bar's volume, keep a running sum of both, then divide one by the other at any point you want a reading. The three EUR/USD bars below show it in practice. Here is a worked example on three 5-minute EUR/USD bars, using tick volume as the volume proxy. Check every cell yourself; I did, and so should you. Bar (5-min) High Low Close Typical Price (H+L+C)/3 Tick Volume TP × Volume 11.10101.10001.10051.100501,0001,100.50 21.10201.10081.10151.101431,5001,652.15 31.10151.10051.10101.101002,0002,202.00 Cumulative4,5004,954.65 Work the first bar to see the mechanics: its typical price is (1.1010 + 1.1000 + 1.1005) ÷ 3 = 1.10050, and multiplied by its 1,000 ticks that gives 1,100.50. Bars 2 and 3 follow the same two steps. Then add the three products, 1,100.50 + 1,652.15 + 2,202.00 = 4,954.65, add the three tick volumes, 1,000 + 1,500 + 2,000 = 4,500, and divide one by the other: VWAP = 4,954.65 ÷ 4,500 = 1.10103 Notice where that reading sits. At 1.10103 it lands inside the session's high-low range, pulled upward towards Bar 3, the bar that carried the most volume at 2,000 ticks. That is the weighting doing its job: Bar 3's 2,000 ticks move the line roughly twice as hard as the opening bar's 1,000. In practice nobody works this out by hand. The platform draws the line automatically, tick by tick, and repaints it as each bar closes. Doing the sum once yourself is only about seeing why heavily traded prices move it. If you later see a shaded channel wrapped around the line, those are the ±1 and ±2 standard-deviation VWAP bands most platforms plot on top. How Traders Use VWAP in Forex VWAP began as a stock and futures tool that needs real traded volume from a centralised exchange, but forex is a decentralised over-the-counter market with no single volume figure, so the VWAP your platform draws on a currency pair runs on tick volume (the count of price changes) as an approximation of real order flow. Whether that approximation helps you or fools you comes down to when you read it. The proxy holds up well when liquidity is high. During the London–New York overlap, roughly 12:00 to 16:00 GMT, EUR/USD is at its busiest and tick count tracks genuine order flow closely enough that VWAP behaves and means something. The proxy breaks down when liquidity thins out. In the quiet Asian session, in the first 30 to 60 minutes after the Monday reset, and around the daily rollover, a handful of ticks can yank the line around and the signal is barely distinguishable from noise. I learned that the hard way. Early on I trusted a Monday-open VWAP on GBP/USD, went short below a line that had barely five minutes of thin weekend-gap ticks behind it, and got stopped for about 15 pips as real London flow arrived twenty minutes later and reversed the whole read. These days I let the session build its volume before I read the line at all, and I only lean on VWAP inside that overlap window where the tick count actually reflects what is happening. Read more: Best time to trade forex: When to enter the market during the day One routing point saves a lot of grief. VWAP works better on a broker's exchange-traded instruments, such as indices like the FTSE 100 or Germany 40, commodities, and single-stock CFDs, because those feeds carry more centralised volume. On spot majors, treat the line as a rough bias reference and nothing more precise. Read more: Forex Volatility: Measuring and Trading Currency Pair Swings How to Read VWAP The most useful way to read VWAP is as an intraday bias filter: price holding above a rising VWAP means buyers control the session, price holding below a falling VWAP means sellers do, and price crossing back and forth repeatedly means neither side has an edge, so stand aside. Taken in that order, the line gives you a directional lean to work within before you think about timing at all. Read more: Forex day trading strategies for beginners: The UK trader's guide 2026 Bias filter Use VWAP to decide the side you are allowed to trade. Above a rising line, you only hunt longs; below a falling line, you only hunt shorts. When the line is flat and price keeps slicing through it, there is no bias to trade, and forcing one is how you feed the market chop. In my own trading this single rule, longs only above a rising line and shorts only below a falling one, has vetoed more bad entries than any candlestick pattern I ever learned; on a strong trend day it talks me out of exactly the counter-trend trades I most want to take. Dynamic support and resistance Price that pulls back to VWAP often reacts there, so the line acts as a moving reference level intraday. Treat it as a level worth watching, not a guarantee; sometimes price reclaims the line cleanly, other times it slices straight through, and the difference usually shows up in how the pair behaves as it arrives. Pullback continuation In a trend, price extends away from VWAP and then drifts back towards it, and that retrace to the line often offers a lower-risk continuation entry in the direction of the trend. The key word is continuation, in the trend direction. This is not a cue to blindly fade a move back to the mean against the session's bias. I do not treat any of this as a magic trigger. VWAP only decides which side of the session I am permitted to be on. The actual entry still comes from structure and price action at the level, and if structure disagrees with the bias, I take neither trade. Read more: How to Read Forex Charts for Traders Tips of Adding VWAP on MT4 and MT5 Neither MT4 nor MT5 ships with VWAP built in, so you add it yourself as a custom indicator, and because forex has no real volume you also have to point it at the correct volume source when you set it up, or the line you get back will be meaningless. A few practical tips make the setup reliable: Obtain a VWAP or session-VWAP custom indicator and add it to your platform's indicators folder before you try to attach it. Attach it to the chart and confirm it plots a single evolving line rather than a fixed lookback average. Check that it resets at each session open with a daily anchor; a VWAP that never resets is not a session VWAP. In MT5, pick the right volume source in the indicator settings: tick volume for spot forex pairs, and real volume only for exchange-traded instruments where the broker actually feeds it. For an anchored version, drop the anchor on an event that actually mattered to price, for example the Monday weekly open or the candle that printed on the last CPI release, instead of a random bar. One honest caveat. Custom indicators from different sources can calculate slightly differently, so trust the line your own platform actually draws rather than assuming two VWAP scripts agree. Watch how it behaves on a demo chart across a full session before you risk anything live. If you run RADEX MARKETS on MT4 or MT5, the same setup steps apply on both. For what it is worth, I keep two versions on my EUR/USD chart: a plain session VWAP that resets at the London open for the day's bias, and an anchored one I drop on the week's first candle every Monday. The session line tells me today's lean, the weekly anchor tells me whether today is pulling with the week or against it, and I trade a good deal smaller when the two disagree. VWAP Trading Strategies in Forex VWAP trading strategies in forex use the line as a bias filter or a mean benchmark, and each one still needs price structure, a defined risk and a sensible stop to work. The numbers in the scenarios below are illustrative, not signals to copy. Here are three approaches I actually use, in order of how often. VWAP bias filter This is the one I run first. Trade longs only while price holds above a rising VWAP, and shorts only while it holds below a falling one. If EUR/USD spends the London–New York overlap above a rising VWAP, I refuse every short idea that session and wait for long setups at structure, which on a trending day can mean passing on three or four tempting counter-trend entries that would each have cost me. VWAP pullback continuation Once that bias filter says longs only, this is how I actually get in. In an uptrend, wait for price to extend, then pull back into a rising VWAP, and look for a continuation long with a stop below the structure that formed the pullback. A retrace of around 8 to 12 pips back to a rising VWAP on EUR/USD during the overlap has been a cleaner long for me than chasing the extended move, because the risk is defined and the trend is still intact. Some traders add an RSI or momentum filter here to confirm the bounce has strength; the depth of that pairing belongs in a dedicated RSI guide. Anchored-VWAP support and resistance The last one leaves the session behind entirely. Fix the anchor on a single event, for instance a CPI-release spike, then watch whether price respects or rejects that line over the following days. Anchoring at that spike and treating the resulting line as a reference level often frames the multi-session reaction better than a plain daily VWAP, which has already reset several times since the news hit. Honestly, VWAP cut my counter-trend churn more than it improved my entries. The trigger is always price structure at the level; VWAP only sets the direction and location I am allowed to work in. Read more: The best forex indicators every trader should use in 2026 How Pros Avoid VWAP's Traps in Forex VWAP carries a handful of structural limitations in forex, and knowing them is exactly what stops a trader over-relying on the line: it runs on proxy volume, it resets every day, it distorts in thin hours, it lags the market, and on its own it is a filter rather than a signal. Each trap has a sidestep: No real centralised volume: tick volume is only a proxy for order flow, so do not read the line on a spot pair the way you would on a stock chart. Downgrade your confidence on spot majors and lean on it more where the instrument has genuine volume. Daily reset: a session VWAP is a pure intraday tool that wipes itself clean each day, so do not try to read it across several days. When you need a multi-session reference, switch to an anchored VWAP instead. Thin-hours distortion: in the Asian session, at the Monday open, and around rollover, a few ticks can throw the line badly. Only trust it during liquid overlap hours, and ignore its readings when the tape is quiet. It lags: VWAP is a cumulative average of trades already done, so it reports where the session has already traded. Use it to set bias, not to predict the next move. Filter, not signal: traded alone, VWAP invites false breaks and whipsaws. Pair it with structure and price action so the line decides direction and location while your setup decides the entry. None of this makes VWAP useless. Set your expectations honestly, use it in the right hours and on the right instruments, and it stays a useful intraday bias tool. The traders who get hurt treat a tick-volume proxy on a Monday-morning spot chart as gospel. That was exactly my GBP/USD mistake earlier, and it is why I now let the overlap prove the line before I trust it. Read more: Understanding Forex Technical Analysis: A Complete Beginner's Guide FAQ What does VWAP tell you? VWAP tells you the running, volume-weighted average price everyone has traded at so far this session, which acts as the day's fair-value benchmark. Price holding above a rising VWAP shows bullish intraday control, price below a falling one shows bearish control, and the line itself often behaves as dynamic support or resistance when price returns to it. Do professional traders use VWAP? Yes. VWAP started life as an institutional execution benchmark in 1988, and desks still use it to score their fills and to work large orders into the market without pushing price against themselves. Retail forex traders borrow the same line as an intraday bias and fair-value reference, so it is a benchmark shared across the market and open to anyone who plots it. Is VWAP reliable for forex trading? VWAP is usable in forex, but with an honest caveat: forex has no centralised volume, so platform VWAP is built on tick volume as a proxy. It is most reliable in the high-liquidity London–New York overlap and on a broker's index and commodity instruments, and least reliable in thin hours such as the Asian session, the Monday open and rollover. Treat it as a bias filter, not a precise signal. How to use VWAP correctly? Treat VWAP as a dynamic value benchmark rather than a rigid support or resistance line, anchor it to the right session in the 24-hour forex market so it resets sensibly, and combine it with price structure instead of trading it in isolation. No single indicator is an edge by itself: VWAP sets the bias and the location, and structure sets the entry. Which indicator is best with VWAP? VWAP pairs well with a momentum oscillator such as RSI, which confirms whether a move off the line has real strength, with VWAP standard-deviation bands, which flag stretched prices prone to mean reversion, and with plain price action at the level. Keep the deeper RSI settings for a dedicated RSI guide, and treat all of these as confirmation, never a holy-grail stack. Should you use tick volume or real volume for VWAP in MT5? On spot forex pairs, use tick volume: it is the only volume forex has, being the count of price changes, and it tracks real order flow closely enough during liquid hours. Choose real volume only for exchange-traded instruments such as indices, commodities and single-stock CFDs, where the broker feeds genuine traded volume. MT4, for what it is worth, only offers tick volume in the first place. What is anchored VWAP, and how is it different from regular VWAP? A regular session VWAP resets at each trading day's open, so it only ever measures the current session. An anchored VWAP is fixed to a start point you choose, such as the weekly open, the spike from a central-bank announcement, or a clear swing high, and it measures the volume-weighted average from that event forward. In forex it is the common workaround for the daily-reset limit, turning VWAP into a multi-session support and resistance reference. Conclusion VWAP is the day's volume-weighted average traded price, weighted so that heavily traded levels pull the line towards them, and it earns its keep as a filter for intraday bias and fair value, not a standalone system for timing entries and exits. Know how it is calculated, stay honest about the fact that forex feeds it tick volume as a proxy for real volume, and apply it in the right hours and on the right instruments. Used above a rising line for longs and below a falling line for shorts, with structure supplying the actual entry, it does one job reliably: it keeps you on the correct side of a liquid session. For me, VWAP never made me better at predicting price. What it did was make me clearer about which side of each session I should be working and which direction I should not fight. Most of my worst trading days came from being on the wrong side of a trending session, and this line is what keeps me off that side now, which is why it is still one of the first things I add when a session opens. References Investopedia — Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) Britannica Money — Volume-weighted average price Berkowitz, Logue & Noser (1988) — The Total Cost of Transactions on the NYSE, Journal of Finance About the Author The RADEX MARKETS editorial team consists of seasoned financial professionals and market observers. Dedicated to delivering objective market summaries, macroeconomic insights, and educational content, the team strives to keep traders well-informed in a fast-paced financial environment. Reviewed by RADEX MARKETS Risk Warning: Trading derivatives and leveraged products carries a high level of risk, including the risk of losing substantially more than your initial investment. 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Price holding above a rising VWAP shows bullish intraday control, price below a falling one shows bearish control, and the line itself often behaves as dynamic support or resistance when price returns to it." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Do professional traders use VWAP?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Yes. VWAP started life as an institutional execution benchmark in 1988, and desks still use it to score their fills and to work large orders into the market without pushing price against themselves. Retail forex traders borrow the same line as an intraday bias and fair-value reference, so it is a benchmark shared across the market and open to anyone who plots it." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Is VWAP reliable for forex trading?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "VWAP is usable in forex, but with an honest caveat: forex has no centralised volume, so platform VWAP is built on tick volume as a proxy. 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No single indicator is an edge by itself: VWAP sets the bias and the location, and structure sets the entry." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Which indicator is best with VWAP?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "VWAP pairs well with a momentum oscillator such as RSI, which confirms whether a move off the line has real strength, with VWAP standard-deviation bands, which flag stretched prices prone to mean reversion, and with plain price action at the level. Keep the deeper RSI settings for a dedicated RSI guide, and treat all of these as confirmation, never a holy-grail stack." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Should you use tick volume or real volume for VWAP in MT5?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "On spot forex pairs, use tick volume: it is the only volume forex has, being the count of price changes, and it tracks real order flow closely enough during liquid hours. Choose real volume only for exchange-traded instruments such as indices, commodities and single-stock CFDs, where the broker feeds genuine traded volume. MT4, for what it is worth, only offers tick volume in the first place." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is anchored VWAP, and how is it different from regular VWAP?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "A regular session VWAP resets at each trading day's open, so it only ever measures the current session. An anchored VWAP is fixed to a start point you choose, such as the weekly open, the spike from a central-bank announcement, or a clear swing high, and it measures the volume-weighted average from that event forward. In forex it is the common workaround for the daily-reset limit, turning VWAP into a multi-session support and resistance reference." } } ] }, { "@type": "Product", "@id": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/en/Products/Forex", "name": "Forex", "description": "Step into the World's Largest Financial Market. Trade over 50 Forex Pairs with RADEX MARKETS", "brand": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "RADEX MARKETS" }, "aggregateRating": { "@type": "AggregateRating", "ratingValue": 4.8, "bestRating": 5, "reviewCount": 517 } }, { "@type": "FinancialService", "@id": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/en/About/ContactUs", "name": "Radex Markets", "url": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/", "logo": "https://www.radexmarkets.com/images/RM_logo-W.svg", "description": "Radex Markets is a global FOREX broker offering low spreads and fast execution.", "telephone": "+44-20-8610-1608", "email": "[email protected]", "address": { "@type": "PostalAddress", "streetAddress": "T55A, Third Floor, Espace Building", "addressLocality": "Victoria", "addressRegion": "Mahé", "addressCountry": "SC" }, "sameAs": [ "https://www.facebook.com/radexmarkets", "https://www.instagram.com/radexmarkets/", "https://www.linkedin.com/company/radexmarkets", "https://x.com/RadexMarkets" ] } ] }

August 04, 2026

BOJ & New York Fed Launch Joint FX Intervention new

Last week, Japanese monetary authorities stepped in to defend the yen after the currency fell to a 40-year low against the US dollar. Such interventions are nothing new; the Bank of Japan has conducted similar operations in the past, most recently in late April after USDJPY threatened to push over the 160 threshold. With that said, the latest intervention stands out for a number of reasons. The first is the sheer size of the purchase, which according to some estimates amounts to a combined $95 billion over a two-day period. The second is that fact that on the second day, the US Federal Reserve joined in to help. Coordinated interventions between the US and Japan are not unprecedented, but the last time dates back to the 2011 earthquake and tsunami, following which G7 nations came together to intentionally weaken the yen in order to stabilise global currency markets and prevent tightening fiscal conditions within the disaster-torn country. The mechanism is very straightforward: sell dollars and buy the yen on the open market. With enough volume, currency pairs can swing violently in the desired direction, as seen last Thursday and Friday. The New York Fed is believed to have contributed $5-10 billion to the move, as per a note left on Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s desk, and the limits by which the treasury itself is constrained. The results are clearly visible on the USDJPY chart: from 164 on Wednesday to 157 by the weekly close. The Japanese Yen has been weakening against the dollar in recent years due to interest rate differentials. Rates on the dollar are currently just shy of 4%, while those on the yen have been close to zero for thirty years. The Bank of Japan has slowly started to raise rates again since 2024, but the current interest rate is still only 1%, far below that of the dollar, or other currencies for that matter. This makes the yen very cheap to borrow. The long-standing paradigm opened the door to what is known as the Japanese carry trade, which involves borrowing yen for cheap and using the borrowed money to buy high-yield foreign assets. The profit earned abroad was more than enough to cover the debt repayments back in Japan, creating a relatively risk-free trade. Japan kept interest rates near zero for so long because the Japanese economy has been completely stagnant for a generation. Low interest rates are the primary tool to stimulate growth because they lower borrowing costs for businesses and consumers alike. When inflation and economic growth are non-existent, it is the default move for any central bank. The problem, for the rest of the world, is that Japan has started to turn things around. Wage growth is up, inflation is rising and GDP growth is beginning to show promising signs. The Bank of Japan is doing exactly what anyone else would do: gradually raise interest rates on the yen. Unfortunately, this makes the carry trade less attractive because it reduces the spread between US yields and the Japanese borrowing costs, forcing people to unwind their positions. These positions amount to trillions of dollars, some of which are tied up in highly leveraged plays attached to US treasuries and tech stocks. The bottom line is that small adjustments on Japanese interest rates can trigger huge movements in financial markets throughout the globe, and people are rightfully terrified. Japan cannot afford to do nothing. Inflation is rising and a weak yen will only promote more price appreciation due to higher import costs. Direct currency interventions are nothing but a short-term solution. Fundamentally, nothing will change until the yen becomes more attractive, which can only be done by increasing interest rates and incentivising markets to hold it instead of selling at the first convenience. The US is trapped. If the yen is allowed to surge too violently, it will trigger a disorderly unwinding of global leverage that could easily crash Western financial markets, sucking trillions of dollars out of US markets. The vast leverage currently underpinning global financial markets needs to be unwound with extremely cautious hands or else the entire system goes up in flames. There is only one real path forward. The Bank of Japan will continue to gradually raise rates, while the US Treasury will likely soften the blow by buying Japanese yen on the open market. Japanese Minister of Finance Satsuki Katayama and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have released near identical statements on the matter, saying they will “not hesitate to participate in further joint intervention”. About the Author Lawrence J. came from a strong technical and engineering background before pivoting into a more financial role later on in his career. Always interested in international finance, Lawrence is experienced in both traditional markets as well as the emerging crypto markets. He now serves as the financial writer for RADEX MARKETS. Reviewed by RADEX MARKETS Risk Warning: Trading derivatives and leveraged products carries a high level of risk, including the risk of losing substantially more than your initial investment.

August 04, 2026

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